← Explore · Market 2431129
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
5.9% implied · bid 4.9¢ · ask 6.9¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.6%, up 1.9pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability6.6%
Bid / ask / mid4.9¢ / 6.9¢ / 5.9¢
Spread2.0¢ (33.9%)
Change 24h+1.90pt
Change 7d+2.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$676
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$60 / $303
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 93 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.75
RSI (14, hourly)93.0
Realized vol 7d0.35pt
Change 1h+0.35pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%