← Explore · Market 2431132
Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
0.9% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 1.3¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.9%, down 2.8pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability1.9%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 1.3¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.9¢ (105.9%)
Change 24h-2.85pt
Change 7d-0.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$592
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7 / $80
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.54
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%