← Explore · Market 2431240

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

96.0% implied · bid 95.9¢ · ask 96.2¢

The market prices this at 96.2%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability96.2%

Bid / ask / mid95.9¢ / 96.2¢ / 96.0¢

Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)

Change 24h+1.50pt

Change 7d+10.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 42% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,622

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$911 / $12,661

Imbalance42% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score55.3 / 100

RSI 90 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.31

RSI (14, hourly)90.2

Realized vol 7d0.99pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%