← Explore · Market 2431243
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
0.6% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.9%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability0.9%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.6¢
Spread0.4¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7d+0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$323
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $83
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.29
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%