← Explore · Market 2431244
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.3¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.3%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability1.3%
Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.3¢ / 1.1¢
Spread0.3¢ (26.1%)
Change 24h-1.05pt
Change 7d-5.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$459
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14 / $100
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 30 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.71
RSI (14, hourly)30.0
Realized vol 7d0.41pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%