← Explore · Market 2431245

Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?

1.8% implied · bid 1.7¢ · ask 1.9¢

The market prices this at 4.8%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability4.8%

Bid / ask / mid1.7¢ / 1.9¢ / 1.8¢

Spread0.2¢ (11.1%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d-2.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$747

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$422 / $106

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.3 / 100

RSI 20 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.20

RSI (14, hourly)20.0

Realized vol 7d0.37pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%