← Explore · Market 2431412
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$319 / $156
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%