← Explore · Market 2431413
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
62.5% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 63.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 63.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 63.0¢ / 62.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$61
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$740 / $1,969
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.74
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.28pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%