← Explore · Market 2431414
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
13.0% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$159
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$365 / $290
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.76
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%