← Explore · Market 2448672
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, down 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h-5.00pt
Change 7d-12.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$73,431
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,000 / $7,943
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score51.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.42
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 10d 1h.
Time to resolve10d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%