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← Explore · Market 2467206

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?

38.5% implied · bid 38.0¢ · ask 39.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 39.0%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability39.0%
Bid / ask / mid38.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 38.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+4.00pt
Change 7d+28.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$8,837
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,775 / $9,209
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score53.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.28
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 4h.

Time to resolve129d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth