← Explore · Market 2467207
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
71.0% implied · bid 70.0¢ · ask 72.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid70.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 71.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.8%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+51.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 58/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 26% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$37,000
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,340 / $27,605
Imbalance26% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score58.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.14
RSI (14, hourly)55.6
Realized vol 7d1.71pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 4h.
Time to resolve129d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%