← Explore · Market 2467210
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
73.0% implied · bid 72.0¢ · ask 74.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 72.0%, up 7.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability72.0%
Bid / ask / mid72.0¢ / 74.0¢ / 73.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h+7.00pt
Change 7d+11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 49% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$630
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$873 / $772
Imbalance49% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 82 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.19
RSI (14, hourly)81.8
Realized vol 7d0.73pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%