← Explore · Market 2467362
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
41.5% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 42.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 42.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability42.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 41.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.4%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-11.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$543
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$150 / $33,170
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score61.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.23
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.69pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%