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← Explore · Market 2468324

Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

16.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 19.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 11.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability11.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (30.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-23.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$227
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$34 / $32
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.32
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.93pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 3h.

Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth