← Explore · Market 2474755
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?
0.5% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.9%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability0.9%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.5¢
Spread0.3¢ (54.5%)
Change 24h-0.75pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$7,952
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$17 / $129
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score48.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 27 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.51
RSI (14, hourly)27.3
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.30pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 21d 17h.
Time to resolve21d 17h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%