← Explore · Market 2474777

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

0.6% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.7¢

The market prices this at 0.7%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.6¢

Spread0.2¢ (33.3%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$25,987

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$412 / $1,935

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score50.2 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.70

RSI (14, hourly)40.0

Realized vol 7d0.15pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 21d 17h.

Time to resolve21d 17h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%