← Explore · Market 2479863
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
80.0% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 81.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 77.0%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability77.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 80.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.5%)
Change 24h+5.00pt
Change 7d+42.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 62% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$2,048
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,734 / $369
Imbalance62% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.71
RSI (14, hourly)62.5
Realized vol 7d2.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%