← Explore · Market 2479864
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
89.5% implied · bid 87.0¢ · ask 92.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid87.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 89.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (5.6%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+8.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 53% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$8
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$343 / $30
Imbalance53% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.55
RSI (14, hourly)36.4
Realized vol 7d0.98pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 51d 21h.
Time to resolve51d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%