← Explore · Market 2479865
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
78.0% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 79.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 78.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 78.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$159
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$570 / $267
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.48pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%