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Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?

80.5% implied · bid 80.0¢ · ask 81.0¢

The market prices this at 81.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability81.0%

Bid / ask / mid80.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 80.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$110

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$165 / $841

Imbalance23% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.5 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.22

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.59pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%