← Explore · Market 2487204
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
14.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 16.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (20.7%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+6.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,245
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$453 / $269
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.44
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 81d 21h.
Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%