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← Explore · Market 2487205

Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?

40.0% implied · bid 38.0¢ · ask 42.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 44.0%, up 4.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability44.0%
Bid / ask / mid38.0¢ / 42.0¢ / 40.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (10.0%)
Change 24h+4.50pt
Change 7d+3.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$834
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,440 / $15
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.99
RSI (14, hourly)56.8
Realized vol 7d2.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth