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← Explore · Market 2487206

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

76.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 79.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 78.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 79.0¢ / 76.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d+6.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 82% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$274
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$455 / $25
Imbalance82% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 42 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.94
RSI (14, hourly)42.1
Realized vol 7d1.84pt
Change 1h+1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 81d 21h.

Time to resolve81d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth