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← Explore · Market 2487206

Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?

80.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 82.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 79.0%, up 14.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability79.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 80.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.7%)
Change 24h+14.00pt
Change 7d+6.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 48% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,410
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,076 / $3,213
Imbalance48% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 81 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.83
RSI (14, hourly)81.3
Realized vol 7d1.87pt
Change 1h-1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 36d 2h.

Time to resolve36d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth