← Explore · Market 2487543

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

94.7% implied · bid 94.6¢ · ask 94.7¢

The market prices this at 93.9%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability93.9%

Bid / ask / mid94.6¢ / 94.7¢ / 94.7¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h-0.55pt

Change 7d-2.20pt

Deep and tight (score 89/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 56% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$1,698

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18,417 / $59,939

Imbalance56% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score88.7 / 100

RSI 62 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.45

RSI (14, hourly)61.9

Realized vol 7d0.23pt

Change 1h+0.40pt

Resolves in 41d 2h.

Time to resolve41d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%