← Explore · Market 2491372
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
31.2% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 32.4¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.8%, up 2.3pt over 24h, on a 2.4¢ spread.
Implied probability29.8%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 32.4¢ / 31.2¢
Spread2.4¢ (7.7%)
Change 24h+2.30pt
Change 7d-1.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,071
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,879 / $835
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score39.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 88 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.46
RSI (14, hourly)87.9
Realized vol 7d0.71pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 1h.
Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%