a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 2491373

Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?

48.5% implied · bid 47.2¢ · ask 49.8¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 48.1%, down 3.1pt over 24h, on a 2.6¢ spread.

Implied probability48.1%
Bid / ask / mid47.2¢ / 49.8¢ / 48.5¢
Spread2.6¢ (5.4%)
Change 24h-3.15pt
Change 7d-0.55pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 40/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,306
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,072 / $3,936
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score39.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 21 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.54
RSI (14, hourly)20.8
Realized vol 7d0.37pt
Change 1h-0.95pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 1h.

Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth