← Explore · Market 2491374
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
18.5% implied · bid 18.0¢ · ask 19.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 19.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability19.0%
Bid / ask / mid18.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 18.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.4%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d+7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,604
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$631 / $667
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.75
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.70pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 1h.
Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%