← Explore · Market 2491375
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
2.7% implied · bid 2.6¢ · ask 2.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.5%, down 1.9pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability2.5%
Bid / ask / mid2.6¢ / 2.8¢ / 2.7¢
Spread0.2¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h-1.90pt
Change 7d-0.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,378
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$124 / $282
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 20 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.93
RSI (14, hourly)20.0
Realized vol 7d0.42pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 1h.
Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%