← Explore · Market 2491384
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?
1.4% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 2.1¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.5%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.
Implied probability2.5%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 2.1¢ / 1.4¢
Spread1.5¢ (111.1%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d-2.40pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$676
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $359
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.30
RSI (14, hourly)63.2
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 5d 1h.
Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%