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← Explore · Market 2491384

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in June?

1.4% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 2.1¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.5%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.

Implied probability2.5%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 2.1¢ / 1.4¢
Spread1.5¢ (111.1%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d-2.40pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$676
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $359
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.30
RSI (14, hourly)63.2
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 1h.

Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth