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← Explore · Market 2491385

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?

0.4% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.6¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.7%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.5¢ (142.9%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-0.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$747
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1 / $78
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.15
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 1h.

Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth