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← Explore · Market 2491386

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in June?

0.4% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 0.9¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.1%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability0.1%
Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 0.9¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.9¢ (200.0%)
Change 24h+0.30pt
Change 7d+0.15pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$860
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $12
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.78
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 1h.

Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth