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← Explore · Market 2491431

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in June?

12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 10.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$180
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20 / $182
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.79
RSI (14, hourly)53.1
Realized vol 7d0.76pt
Change 1h+1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 1h.

Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth