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Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?

53.5% implied · bid 53.0¢ · ask 54.0¢

The market prices this at 55.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability55.0%

Bid / ask / mid53.0¢ / 54.0¢ / 53.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)

Change 24h-2.00pt

Change 7d+13.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$402

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$167 / $1,222

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.7 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.91

RSI (14, hourly)57.1

Realized vol 7d1.61pt

Change 1h-1.00pt

Resolves in 5d 1h.

Time to resolve5d 1h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%