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← Explore · Market 2491433

Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?

33.5% implied · bid 33.0¢ · ask 34.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 33.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid33.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 33.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.0%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+5.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$784
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$149 / $369
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 41 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.49
RSI (14, hourly)40.9
Realized vol 7d2.18pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 1h.

Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth