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← Explore · Market 2491434

Will Core CPI YoY be 3.0% in June?

1.9% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 2.8¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.1%, up 1.1pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.

Implied probability2.1%
Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 2.8¢ / 1.9¢
Spread1.7¢ (87.2%)
Change 24h+1.15pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$278
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14 / $25
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 63 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.49
RSI (14, hourly)63.0
Realized vol 7d0.23pt
Change 1h-0.35pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 5d 1h.

Time to resolve5d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth