← Explore · Market 2507002
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,259
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$595 / $297
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score45.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-4.08
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%