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← Explore · Market 2507003

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?

51.0% implied · bid 50.0¢ · ask 52.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 53.0%, down 16.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability53.0%
Bid / ask / mid50.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 51.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.9%)
Change 24h-16.50pt
Change 7d-9.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 28% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,107
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$169 / $61
Imbalance28% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 34 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.29
RSI (14, hourly)33.6
Realized vol 7d2.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 494d 3h.

Time to resolve494d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth