← Explore · Market 2510767
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
50.5% implied · bid 50.0¢ · ask 51.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 50.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid50.0¢ / 51.0¢ / 50.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-13.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$25,916
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,346 / $8,028
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score52.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.27
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d1.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%