← Explore · Market 2517517

Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?

87.0% implied · bid 86.0¢ · ask 88.0¢

The market prices this at 88.0%, up 13.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability88.0%

Bid / ask / mid86.0¢ / 88.0¢ / 87.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (2.3%)

Change 24h+13.00pt

Change 7d+16.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$728

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$66 / $2,191

Imbalance33% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score41.1 / 100

RSI 91 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.34

RSI (14, hourly)91.2

Realized vol 7d1.82pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 41d 2h.

Time to resolve41d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%