← Explore · Market 2535468

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

0.5% implied · bid 0.5¢ · ask 0.6¢

The market prices this at 0.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.5¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (18.2%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d-6.95pt

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$126,167

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,414 / $5,760

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)12

Liquidity score54.6 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.97

RSI (14, hourly)66.7

Realized vol 7d0.33pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 4d 21h.

Time to resolve4d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%