← Explore · Market 2555350

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

5.6% implied · bid 5.5¢ · ask 5.7¢

The market prices this at 5.5%, down 1.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability5.5%

Bid / ask / mid5.5¢ / 5.7¢ / 5.6¢

Spread0.2¢ (3.6%)

Change 24h-1.15pt

Change 7d+2.80pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$102,046

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,664 / $1,088

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)9

Liquidity score50.9 / 100

RSI 41 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.97

RSI (14, hourly)41.4

Realized vol 7d0.61pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 4d 21h.

Time to resolve4d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%