← Explore · Market 2555351

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

12.0% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability12.0%

Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (16.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+4.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$76,461

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,423 / $1,333

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)7

Liquidity score41.9 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.93

RSI (14, hourly)66.7

Realized vol 7d0.65pt

Change 1h+1.00pt

Resolves in 20d 21h.

Time to resolve20d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%