← Explore · Market 2555383
Netanyahu out by July 31?
0.9% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability1.0%
Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.0¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.2¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-0.45pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$974
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$436 / $333
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.00
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 20d 21h.
Time to resolve20d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%