← Explore · Market 2555530
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?
48.9% implied · bid 48.6¢ · ask 49.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 48.3%, down 12.8pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability48.3%
Bid / ask / mid48.6¢ / 49.2¢ / 48.9¢
Spread0.6¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h-12.80pt
Change 7d-19.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$15,449
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$369 / $162
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.56
RSI (14, hourly)38.4
Realized vol 7d3.06pt
Change 1h-3.90pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 2h.
Time to resolve8d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%