← Explore · Market 2587795
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?
0.9% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 1.3¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.2%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability1.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 1.3¢ / 0.9¢
Spread0.9¢ (105.9%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d+0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27 / $28
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.39
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.25pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 62d 9h.
Time to resolve62d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%