← Explore · Market 2587796
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
4.2% implied · bid 3.4¢ · ask 4.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.8%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.
Implied probability4.8%
Bid / ask / mid3.4¢ / 4.9¢ / 4.2¢
Spread1.5¢ (36.1%)
Change 24h-0.85pt
Change 7d-8.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,293
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$87 / $934
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.42
RSI (14, hourly)62.7
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 16d 10h.
Time to resolve16d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%