← Explore · Market 2587796
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
51.5% implied · bid 51.0¢ · ask 52.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 50.0%, up 8.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability50.0%
Bid / ask / mid51.0¢ / 52.0¢ / 51.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.9%)
Change 24h+8.00pt
Change 7d-22.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$677
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$282 / $279
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.41
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d2.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 62d 9h.
Time to resolve62d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%