← Explore · Market 2587797
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
95.5% implied · bid 95.0¢ · ask 96.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 92.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability92.0%
Bid / ask / mid95.0¢ / 96.0¢ / 95.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+8.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 51% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$266
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,904 / $13,551
Imbalance51% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.17
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.34pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 16d 10h.
Time to resolve16d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%