← Explore · Market 2587798
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
0.8% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 1.1¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.3%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.
Implied probability0.3%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 1.1¢ / 0.8¢
Spread0.7¢ (93.3%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d+0.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21 / $6
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.01
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 62d 9h.
Time to resolve62d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%