← Explore · Market 2587798

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.6¢

The market prices this at 0.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%

Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.4¢

Spread0.3¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d-0.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8 / $97

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.6 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.35

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.03pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 16d 10h.

Time to resolve16d 10h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%