← Explore · Market 2587825
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-12.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,100
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$82 / $9
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.92
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.86pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 4d 21h.
Time to resolve4d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%